Expert Researcher

Peter Draper

About

Peter Draper joined SAIIA as Trade Research Fellow and Project Head of the Development through Trade Program in 2003. He previously headed the Department of Economics and Economic History at the University of Durban-Westville; the Asia and Mercosur desks at the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI); and Economic Analysis and Research in the DTI's International Trade and Economic Development Division. He is a member of Business Unity South Africa's trade committee and lectures International Business at the Wits Business School. He is a board member and non-resident senior fellow of the Brussels-based European Centre for International Political Economy; a member of the IMD-Lausanne's Evian group including its "Brains trust"; and a board member of the Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis. He holds a Masters in Economics from the University of Kwazulu-Natal. He is based in Pretoria.
 

Publications: 26
AREAS OF EXPERTISE
EDUCATION
All work from Peter Draper
1 June 2018

Mitigating the Adjustment Costs of International Trade

The evidence demonstrating that nations gain from trade is overwhelming. However, trade liberalization can cause disruption to firms and workers, and its gains and losses are spread unevenly. While many gain from trade, import surges have sometimes und …

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20 December 2017

Trade, Inclusiveness, Inequality and the WTO: A South African Perspective on a Complex Debate

Economic globalisation is coming under increasing scrutiny in many parts of the world. In particular, its trade aspect is increasingly, and critically, being questioned, by populist politicians in the West and developing worlds alike. In the process im …

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9 October 2017

Sustainability Standards, SMEs and GVCs: Recommendations for the G20

Participation in global value chains (GVCs)2 by developing countries is limited but holds substantial growth prospects. South Africa and Kenya have the potential to steer regional integration opportunities and act as gateways to favourable investment g …

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28 September 2017

Are Private Sustainability Standards Obstacles to, or Enablers of, SME Participation in Value Chains? Insights from South Africa and Kenya

This discussion paper examines the roles of South Africa and Kenya as regional gateways for global value chains (GVCs) coordinated by multinational corporations (MNCs), and the obstacles small and medium enterprises (SMEs) face in entering those value …

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31 May 2017

Fighting BEPS in Africa: A Review of Country-by-Country Reporting

Multinational enterprises (MNEs) can shift profits away from jurisdictions with comparatively high tax rates to jurisdictions with lower to no tax rates, and so avoid paying their fair share of taxes without breaking any single jurisdiction’s laws. Thi …

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1 November 2014

Mega-regional Trade Agreements: Strategic Implications for South Africa

“For many years the Doha Round of negotiations of the World Trade Organization (WTO) had been in the doldrums, with little apparent prospect of success in its primary aim. In the wake of the ninth WTO ministerial conference in Bali in December 2013 the …

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1 September 2012

The Economic Gateway to Africa? Geography, Strategy and South Africa’s Regional Economic Relations

“The paper argues that South Africa’s role as an economic gateway primarily depends upon geography, ie upon naturally given and man-made structures in geographical space. Based upon these structures, politicians and businessmen have to pursue the right …

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1 February 2012

Towards a Framework of Principles for the G20: Assessing the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung ‘Guidelines’

” A rapidly changing world needs a navigational system if it is not to founder on the rocks of high finance. The G20 ‘ship’ currently lacks such direction and risks becoming irrelevant at the time of greatest need for it. One option, albeit one that wo …

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1 November 2011

Dreaming out Loud: Implications of a Doha End-game for South Africa

“In November 2011, the Doha Round will be in its tenth year. Efforts continue in Geneva to conclude the negotiations but with no sign of agreement anytime soon. The talks have essentially been stuck since the last draft modalities of 2008, and no agree …

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1 August 2010

Trade, Industrial Policy and Exchange Rates in South Africa

“South Africa’s trade, industrial and exchange rate policies have been the subject of substantial public debate in recent months, not least owing to the impact of the 2008–10 global financial crisis. On the trade and industrial policy fronts a substant …

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1 July 2010

Whither the Multilateral Trading System? Implications for (South) Africa

“So far the World Trade Organisation (WTO) has acted as a constraint on the worst protectionist pressures building in the global trading system following the 2008–10 global financial crisis, which is a testament to the system’s constraining power. But …

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1 July 2010

What Does the Future Hold for SACU? From Own Goal to Laduma! Scenarios for the Future of the Southern African Customs Union

“A group of Southern African Customs Union (SACU) experts and interested parties recently participated in a scenario-planning exercise on the future of SACU. This paper gives an account of the scenarios developed, which range from SACU collapsing to a …

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1 June 2009

Trade Policy, Protectionism and the Global Economic Crisis

“This discussion has been among a group of like-minded people who generally see the benefits of free trade. But that view is not necessarily widely held in the broader society, where protectionism attracts a lot of support. That’s why we need to have m …

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1 May 2009

Africa’s Challenges in International Trade and Regional Integration: What Role for Europe?

“The challenges that Africa faces in trade and regional integration are legion, and well documented. In this brief we attempt to summarise them against the backdrop of Africa’s broad development priorities. We then explore the ‘demand’ and ‘supply’ sid …

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1 November 2008

Towards a New ‘Washington Consensus’? South Africa, The G20 Leaders’ Summit and the Financial Crisis

To the apparent surprise of G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank governors meeting in Washington during the annual October gathering in 2008, George Bush, outgoing President of the United States of America (US), proposed that a formal summit of G20 h …

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1 October 2007

One Size doesn’t Fit All: Deal Breaker Issues in the Failed US-SACU Free Trade Negotiations

“This volume is part of a larger effort to raise awareness among members of the South African business community of the importance to their own interests of the issues at stake in an FTA negotiation, and of the possibilities inherent in compromise. It …

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1 July 2007

Trade in Genetically Modified Foods: Decoding Southern African Regulatory Approaches

“The central theme of this book is the assertion that despite potential risks agricultural biotechnology can be effectively harnessed to ensure food security and general economic prosperity in Southern Africa. Rautenbach’s chapter exposes the gravity o …

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1 January 2007

SACU, Regional Integration and the Overlap Issue in Southern Africa: From Spaghetti to Cannelloni?

“This paper examines the regional integration initiatives underpinning the various southern African RECs, and SACU’s relationship to the rationalization of RECs in southern and eastern Africa. Part 2 sketches the institutional frameworks associated wit …

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1 January 2005

Developing Country Coalitions in Multilateral Trade Negotiations: Aligning the Majors?

“This paper focuses on coalition building by developing countries, which is a key indicator of their overall capacity and effectiveness in the WTO. The issue is examined in the context of national trade policies and trade negotiations on other tracks, …

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1 January 2005

The TDCA: Impacts, Lessons and Perspectives for EU-South and Southern African Relations

On 11 October 1999 South Africa and the EU signed the TDCA. The agreement was only ratified in May 2004 but some aspects were provisionally implemented with immediate effect. This paper deals with the European Union and its structure and what South Afr …

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1 October 2004

More than Just Numbers: The Implications of EU Enlargement from 15-25 for South Africa’s Trade Strategy

This briefing offers insight into the strategic implications of European Union enlargement for South Africa’s trade strategy. This briefing focuses on the dynamics most likely to impact on EU trade strategy particularly in the sphere of agricultural po …

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1 May 2004

US Trade Strategy after Cancun Prospects and Implications for the SACU-US FTA

“The purpose of this report is to highlight the contours of US trade strategy, as well as its prospects and implications for the SACU-US FTA negotiations. It deals with six issues. First, the report traces the historical origins of US trade policy. Sec …

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1 January 2004

Much ado about Something? Assessing the Potential of the India-Brazil-SA Forum

“Various questions are beginning to be asked about the progress and potential of the India-Brazil-South Africa (IBSA) Forum, which was created more than a year ago. Following two ministerial meetings a broad agenda has been laid down. At present, howev …

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1 November 2003

Africa after Cancun Trade Negotiations in Uncertain Times

“This trade policy report sets out to understand and demystify the failed September 2003 World Trade Organisation (WTO) ministerial meeting in Cancun, Mexico. The collection begins with President Yoweri Museveni of Uganda arguing that what Africans rea …

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1 September 2003

Smoke and Mirrors: Africa, Special and Differential Treatment, and the Doha Development Agenda

“Current negotiations over special and differential treatment (SDT) in the World Trade Organisation (WTO) are rather complex, and fraught with all manner of difficulties. Arguably only those involved in these negotiations really understand the state of …

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